The Oil Drum: Europe

there was no explanation of the relative amounts produced by those in decline v. those yet to roll over.

According to EIA statistics ... http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/topworldtables1_2.htm

in 2006 ...

there were ...
42 'net exporters', with average total exports of 45.424 mpd

of these ...
35 have either peaked or are at a peak plateau, producing on average 37.240 mpd

that leaves ...
just 7 countries that are yet to peak, producing on average 8.184 mbd

The top 16 make up 90% of total net exports and their exports peaked in 2005.

http://netoilexports.blogspot.com/

In the two years or so since peak their net exports have declined about 5%

Between 2000 and 2006 the production of the 171 'net importer' countries fell 4.2% to 20.872 mpd

Any net growth in production (for BAU around 2% is required) will first have to counter the 'net importer' declines and the 'net exporter' declines.

IMO the most likely place for adequate future growth (if any) is likely to come from countries where current adverse 'above ground' factors are removed or from the 7 'net export' countries yet to peak.

The 7 are:

United Arab Emirates, Libya, Angola, Kazakhstan, Canada,Azerbaijan and Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast).

Xeroid.