101 comments on ASPO-USA: Support for Global Energy Flow modelling and a Net Energy database
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101 comments on ASPO-USA: Support for Global Energy Flow modelling and a Net Energy database
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GAIA Host Collective
One thing that is sometimes overlooked in net energy analysis is liebigs law of the minimum. If Peak Oil is nigh, then energy will likely be the limiting factor, but as planetary ecological systems become more strained and our waste products exceed the absorption capacity, analysis of new energy technologies will have to incorporate other inputs/outputs than straight BTUs. What if water becomes more important than energy - then do we have Energy Return on Water Invested?
What if we design a great energy technology with high EROI of 20:1, yet it has triple the greenhouse gas emissions and depletes the soil. Multicriteria analysis, with particular attention to externalities, somehow needs to be incorporated into net energy analysis. And that is one thing that both EROI and standard financial ROI have in common.
Dual cycle nat gas power plants are often promoted on the basis of their super heat conversion efficiency. But the utilities may conveniently forget to add in the energy costs of gas discovery, liquification, transportation, regasification before it reaches the boilers.
Bio fuels as you know have a wide range of potential externalities - water use, soil depletion, transportation, monocultures etc. That's one reason why I liked the talk by Milton Maciel on Brazilian sugar cane at ASPO so much - I still think we should try and get a post on that - because it captured a technlogy that delivered high ERoEI but in an ecologically sustainable way.
Many of the externalities are "hidden" costs to society and they are often environemntal in nature. Given our dual concerns for energy depletion and environmental sustainability, I believe that a "whole system" method of accounting EroEI + external costs is vital to seeing the best path forward.
That, by the very definition of "great", would not only not be a great technology but simply unsustainable.
In the real world one always has to deal with multiple problems at the same time, yet, it is not only technically correct to seperate concerns but also necessary. The reason why you are not allowed to dispose of your motor oil in the sewage is that the water treatment plant can't deal with it.
For very much the same reasons nuclear power plants are not allowed to ship nuclear waste in carboard boxes with the mail.
Right now global awareness is growing that disposing of CO2 in the atmosphere is just as bad as spilling oil or releasing radioactivity once you get to the Gton/year quantities. The mechanisms to deal with that are the same as with the motor oil and the nuclear waste: laws and regulations.
Just because you can make up a worse scenario in your mind than exists in reality, real problem solvers will not have to change their strategies. And one of them is seperation of concerns, which starts at the analysis level and then continues on the political one.